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The WESTern Perspective (Week 4 Preview)
Posted 09-25-2008 at 05:07 AM by dannywest
The WESTern Perspective
September 24, 2008
Version 2.10
It is not uncommon for player’s to come out of nowhere and spend a couple weeks amongst the top ten fantasy players and then disappear for the remainder of the season, sometimes the remainder of their career. However, what is less common, is for these types of players to immerge and then maintain that level of performance. In both situations, however, the fantasy football consensus seems to be this kneejerk add/drop reaction. But before making that trip to the waivers and debating yourself on who the most expendable player on your roster is, you need to look at things a bit more closely and figure out if you will be getting a Samkon Gado or a Ryan Grant.
Chicago’s Brandon Lloyd’s performance on Sunday, 6 receptions for 124 yards and a touchdown against the Bucs, looks good on paper, but, when looked at a bit more closely, it could easily be considered a fluke performance. Tampa’s extremely capable secondary was depleted, for the majority of the game Lloyd was being covered by Marcus Hamilton, a player who, up until last week, was only on Tampa’s practice squad, and though Hamilton was certainly no slouch, he can’t be considered a legitimate factor in considering a receiver’s value based on productivity. What can be considered however, is what that player did in previous outings, and Brandon Lloyd has done virtually nothing, against the Colts in week one Lloyd caught 2 passes for 26 yards, in the Bears’ week two game against the Panthers he hauled in 5 receptions for 62 yards, almost half of which came on one play. And while Lloyd may have disappeared quickly from the free agent list, it is doubtful that you will be missing much.
However, the same game revealed one player who can certainly make an impact on any fantasy roster. Jerramy Stevens, coming back for his first game of the season, caught 5 receptions for 61 yards and a touch. Stevens proved to be a favored target in the Tampa passing game and looks to remain one for the rest of the season. With Jeremy Shockey injured and an onslaught of top tier tight ends under performing, Stevens is well worth a trip to the waiver wire.
Julius Jones had a dramatic drop in his ADP from last year to this, however, those with enough fortune to pick him up late are certainly glad they did. In the past two weeks, Jones has rushed 267 yards and two touchdowns. And while Jones and the Seahawks have this upcoming week off, it would be foolish to leave him on your bench any other week.
Maybe there is hope for the Bengals on your roster after all. TJ Houshmandzadeh came alive this past week with 12 receptions, 146 yards and a touchdown. He was week 3’s top performing wide receiver and, let’s be honest, was due for a performance like this one. Last season Housh had 112 receptions, 1143 yards and 12 touchdowns, and this past week he looked like the same guy that inflated our fantasy scores last year. Put your worries aside and leave this receiver in your starting lineup.
In other NFL news that might affect your fantasy football lineups, Tampa Bay’s PK, Matt Bryant, lost his infant son Wednesday morning. Reportedly, the 3 month old “just didn’t wake up.” Bryant has always been a stand-up guy, both on and off the field, which makes this tragedy that much more unfortunate. I know the Outlaw community will have the Bryant family in their thoughts.
The New York Giants have suspended wide receiver Plaxico Burress for next week’s game against the Seahawks. Burress reportedly did not show up for practice on Monday, resulting in the suspension and two weeks worth of docked pay. The Giants have their bye week in week 4, and while Burress should be back in the lineup for their week 6 game, you can find an update on the situation next week here on the WESTern Perspective.
First Colston went down, now Shockey will miss the next several weeks with an injury, the question is, how will this affect the Saints’ offence? Quarterback Drew Brees has put up numbers worthy of landing him in the top 5 of quarterbacks in most leagues, in PPR leagues Reggie Bush is, hands down, the season’s best fantasy running back thus far. And while these injuries may result in a slightly revised game plan, I don’t expect the numbers of Brees or Bush to dwindle at all. What I do expect is Devery Henderson to make a serious dent in fantasy football scoreboards, and while Henderson has had a slow start to the season, these next few weeks, with no Colston, no Shockey, and a questionable David Patten, he should prove worthy of a starting job, as he is, perhaps, at this point, the league’s most valuable bye-week-filler.
So whether you’ve already made that trip to the free agency list or are just considering it, remember, it doesn’t hurt to keep a watchful eye on the player before plugging them into your starting lineup and while you may be missing out on this year’s Derek Anderson, it is much more likely that you have only found another J.P. Losman.
September 24, 2008
Version 2.10
It is not uncommon for player’s to come out of nowhere and spend a couple weeks amongst the top ten fantasy players and then disappear for the remainder of the season, sometimes the remainder of their career. However, what is less common, is for these types of players to immerge and then maintain that level of performance. In both situations, however, the fantasy football consensus seems to be this kneejerk add/drop reaction. But before making that trip to the waivers and debating yourself on who the most expendable player on your roster is, you need to look at things a bit more closely and figure out if you will be getting a Samkon Gado or a Ryan Grant.
Chicago’s Brandon Lloyd’s performance on Sunday, 6 receptions for 124 yards and a touchdown against the Bucs, looks good on paper, but, when looked at a bit more closely, it could easily be considered a fluke performance. Tampa’s extremely capable secondary was depleted, for the majority of the game Lloyd was being covered by Marcus Hamilton, a player who, up until last week, was only on Tampa’s practice squad, and though Hamilton was certainly no slouch, he can’t be considered a legitimate factor in considering a receiver’s value based on productivity. What can be considered however, is what that player did in previous outings, and Brandon Lloyd has done virtually nothing, against the Colts in week one Lloyd caught 2 passes for 26 yards, in the Bears’ week two game against the Panthers he hauled in 5 receptions for 62 yards, almost half of which came on one play. And while Lloyd may have disappeared quickly from the free agent list, it is doubtful that you will be missing much.
However, the same game revealed one player who can certainly make an impact on any fantasy roster. Jerramy Stevens, coming back for his first game of the season, caught 5 receptions for 61 yards and a touch. Stevens proved to be a favored target in the Tampa passing game and looks to remain one for the rest of the season. With Jeremy Shockey injured and an onslaught of top tier tight ends under performing, Stevens is well worth a trip to the waiver wire.
Julius Jones had a dramatic drop in his ADP from last year to this, however, those with enough fortune to pick him up late are certainly glad they did. In the past two weeks, Jones has rushed 267 yards and two touchdowns. And while Jones and the Seahawks have this upcoming week off, it would be foolish to leave him on your bench any other week.
Maybe there is hope for the Bengals on your roster after all. TJ Houshmandzadeh came alive this past week with 12 receptions, 146 yards and a touchdown. He was week 3’s top performing wide receiver and, let’s be honest, was due for a performance like this one. Last season Housh had 112 receptions, 1143 yards and 12 touchdowns, and this past week he looked like the same guy that inflated our fantasy scores last year. Put your worries aside and leave this receiver in your starting lineup.
In other NFL news that might affect your fantasy football lineups, Tampa Bay’s PK, Matt Bryant, lost his infant son Wednesday morning. Reportedly, the 3 month old “just didn’t wake up.” Bryant has always been a stand-up guy, both on and off the field, which makes this tragedy that much more unfortunate. I know the Outlaw community will have the Bryant family in their thoughts.
The New York Giants have suspended wide receiver Plaxico Burress for next week’s game against the Seahawks. Burress reportedly did not show up for practice on Monday, resulting in the suspension and two weeks worth of docked pay. The Giants have their bye week in week 4, and while Burress should be back in the lineup for their week 6 game, you can find an update on the situation next week here on the WESTern Perspective.
First Colston went down, now Shockey will miss the next several weeks with an injury, the question is, how will this affect the Saints’ offence? Quarterback Drew Brees has put up numbers worthy of landing him in the top 5 of quarterbacks in most leagues, in PPR leagues Reggie Bush is, hands down, the season’s best fantasy running back thus far. And while these injuries may result in a slightly revised game plan, I don’t expect the numbers of Brees or Bush to dwindle at all. What I do expect is Devery Henderson to make a serious dent in fantasy football scoreboards, and while Henderson has had a slow start to the season, these next few weeks, with no Colston, no Shockey, and a questionable David Patten, he should prove worthy of a starting job, as he is, perhaps, at this point, the league’s most valuable bye-week-filler.
So whether you’ve already made that trip to the free agency list or are just considering it, remember, it doesn’t hurt to keep a watchful eye on the player before plugging them into your starting lineup and while you may be missing out on this year’s Derek Anderson, it is much more likely that you have only found another J.P. Losman.
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