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Poll: Who would you take at #1?
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Who would you take at #1?

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Old 06-12-2008, 04:12 PM   #1
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And the Number One pick in your fantasy draft is......

Is their any question? LT seems to be the consensus choice, but there is some sentiment out there for Adrian Peterson after his amazing rookie year. So that's the question, do you have the balls to make that choice??

I sure don't, no way, not after one year. LT is a proven STUD and has given me no reason to doubt him. Could the wheels start to fall off this season? Sure, they will at some point, so it could happen this year, but I believe LT is still the safer, more dynamic pick.

The scoring system also coming into play here, in a ppr league, I don't believe there is any way you can consider Peterson. In fact, he wouldn't be my 2 or 3 in a ppr league. Westy is obviously the big ppr winner, any shot you take him over LT? Jackson also is a guy I expect major things out of and gets a bump in ppr formats.

So how about it outlaws? You rolling the dice and taking someone not named LT in the one hole? I know I'm not, I prefer to go with the lowest risk and I feel that is LT. He has some wear, and he will break down at some point, but I don't think 2008 will be that year.

Last edited by The Ram; 06-12-2008 at 04:19 PM.
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Old 06-12-2008, 04:23 PM   #2
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Miller is falling into the classic ff gaff: thinking in 08 like its still 03.

LT has been a beast for a looooong time. The Bolts offense has been built around him and for good reason. But when comparing the potential ff tsunami that is Purple Jesus to what likely will end up being a good season in LT and the choice of the thinking man is APII.

Am I saying LT2 is done? Nope. He'll still be a solid top 3 back. I think its time to make a bold move like taking Peterson #1 this year.
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Old 06-12-2008, 04:28 PM   #3
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I agree with Ram, and I think quite a few others will as well. There is a reason both of them have an ADP of 1.01.
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Old 06-12-2008, 04:32 PM   #4
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If I am stuck with the pick and can't trade it, I don't hesitate to go with Tomlinson.

Peterson has given us one season. It started off great, then he got hurt, then he royally sucked at the position. I'm not one to focus too heavily on injuries, but just watch this guy run and you can almost guarantee he is going to be on the bench hurting at some point, every season.

Tomlinson will be a man motivated this year. He got hurt last season, couldn't finish a playoff game, and took quite a bit of unfair criticism for it until people found out the extent of the injury. This has always been a person that will use a "chip on his shoulder" to his benefit.

Tomlinson only has another season or two of greatness in him, damned if I am going to miss out on it and take an over hyped 2nd year running back.
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Old 06-12-2008, 04:36 PM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sgt_John View Post
I agree with Ram, and I think quite a few others will as well. There is a reason both of them have an ADP of 1.01.
Where is this that they have an ADP of 1.1??

LT: 1.4
AP: 2.3

Average Draft Position (ADP) - Fantasy Football Calculator
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Old 06-12-2008, 04:46 PM   #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Ram View Post
Miller is falling into the classic ff gaff: thinking in 08 like its still 03.

LT has been a beast for a looooong time. The Bolts offense has been built around him and for good reason. But when comparing the potential ff tsunami that is Purple Jesus to what likely will end up being a good season in LT and the choice of the thinking man is APII.

Am I saying LT2 is done? Nope. He'll still be a solid top 3 back. I think its time to make a bold move like taking Peterson #1 this year.
2003?? what you smokin today ram....

Let's think like it's 2008 and go with what we know.

Tomlinson has never missed more then one game in a year, last year, in year number one, Peterson missed 2. Tomlinson has never had under 1600 combined yds, and since his rookie year, has never been under 15 TD's. AP did go over 1600 combined last year, but only 12 TD's.

Tomlinson is the model of consistency and is proven with no signs of slowing. AP is a STUD, and will continue to improve you'd think, but it's not a given, and for me to take him over LT in a redraft, he's going to have to show me more then 14 games......with LT I have 7 seasons of reasons to make him #1. With AP, I don't even have one full year....

The #1 spot is a little early to be taking gambles with unproven commodities.

Got another question for ya though RAM, in a ppr, you still taking AP?
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Old 06-12-2008, 04:51 PM   #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Miller_time View Post
Where is this that they have an ADP of 1.1??

LT: 1.4
AP: 2.3

Average Draft Position (ADP) - Fantasy Football Calculator
Other sites I have seen had them both at 1.01 your Lordship. Obviously I have been using the wrong research.
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Old 06-12-2008, 04:59 PM   #8
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I have seen one place that has Adrian Peterson (MIN) as the #1 pick, and that is at MFL. MyFantasyLeague.com.

If you look though, the reason he is ranked #1 is that many of the drafts used in their "redraft" results are dynasty drafts.
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Old 06-12-2008, 05:02 PM   #9
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Maybe Im finding more dynasty information than redraft or Im not being specific. Everyones going to have a preference and your not going to change anyones minds on what they have already decided to do or not to do.

Any of the backs mentioned are going to give you great production and all can be considered as team anchors. There is no real loser in this contest.
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Old 06-12-2008, 05:08 PM   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sgt_John View Post
Other sites I have seen had them both at 1.01 your Lordship. Obviously I have been using the wrong research.
So I can't ask a question.....WHERE??? I'm asking b/c I'm curious..... Not to be a dick....
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Old 06-12-2008, 05:14 PM   #11
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I dont know, besides MFL and looking at rankings that have them 1 and 2 or 2 and 1 I just google the stuff. We dont pull the same photos of chicks when we google the same things so maybe your wide base of reference material and research and mine is different.
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Old 06-12-2008, 05:15 PM   #12
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Mock Draft Central has LT and MFL does have AP as Mike pointed out.

Will be interesting to see what the Outlaws think on it. Got a take, let's hear it!
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Old 06-12-2008, 05:26 PM   #13
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I'd go Tomlinson.

But in past years, having Tomlinson would allow you some wiggle room in regards to your backup RBs. From here on I would look to insure myself with a bit better caliber of depth just in case. But until that "just in case" scenario happens, I can't think of another running back that seems to guarantee near a 100 and a touch every week.
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Old 06-12-2008, 05:34 PM   #14
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I am the lone other vote, for now. You asked for my number one and that is Stephen, Mr. Jackson if you're nasty. Mr. Jackson is in a contract year, he is motivated, and the Rams look to have shored up some holes. I think he is set to have a monster year and I think he will out produce LT and AP.

Again that is MY opinion, not that of a fantasy genius, just a small cog in the big machine.
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Old 06-12-2008, 05:41 PM   #15
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Miller_time View Post
2003?? what you smokin today ram....

Let's think like it's 2008 and go with what we know.

Tomlinson has never missed more then one game in a year, last year, in year number one, Peterson missed 2. Tomlinson has never had under 1600 combined yds, and since his rookie year, has never been under 15 TD's. AP did go over 1600 combined last year, but only 12 TD's.

Tomlinson is the model of consistency and is proven with no signs of slowing. AP is a STUD, and will continue to improve you'd think, but it's not a given, and for me to take him over LT in a redraft, he's going to have to show me more then 14 games......with LT I have 7 seasons of reasons to make him #1. With AP, I don't even have one full year....

The #1 spot is a little early to be taking gambles with unproven commodities.

Got another question for ya though RAM, in a ppr, you still taking AP?

Like I mentioned earlier, LT is the safe bet but not the logical bet. Every year this happens...with Faulk, Alexander, etc. Folks look back and try to project forward. Will this be the year for LT? Likely. If APII can do what he did as a rookie and missing games is there another level he can go? Yes.
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