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Old 04-20-2007, 02:42 PM   #1
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Who will be the 2nd year RB DUD this season?

OK, every year at least one RB gets a ton of hype entering his second season, goes a lot higher then he should in most drafts, and proceeds to fall flat on his face. Last year we all saw it with one Cadalliac Williams, who many were just so sure he was a great value at the end of rd 1. Well that didn't work out too well. The Cedric Benson hype picked up a lot of steam as well, and again, didn't work out the best.

This year we have a nice group of 2nd year RB to disect, and you can gaurentee at least a couple of them will fail to live up to the hype they will get this summer. So who will it be?

My gut says Maurice Jones Drew. I know the kid looked like dynamite last season is shared duty. he was a TD machine. However, he is still sharing time with Taylor, and I think last year may have been a bit of a fluke on the TD's. Anyone taking him in the top 2 rounds will likely be disappointed by years end.

Runner up is Reggie Bush. Will likely get into the first round once the season comes around. Just way too high for a guy who splits carries with Deuce. In ppr leagues he is a safer bet, but if not, I think you will be in for a a heartbreak if you take him in the first 2 rounds.
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Old 04-20-2007, 03:00 PM   #2
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I don't expect Drew to be all that great, but i also don't expect him to be drafted very early either.

I will throw Norwood out there, but I think he is much like Drew, will not be drafted all that high, but also will not perform very well after a decent start/hype in '06.

I think Bush will be worth a 2nd round pick this year, for sure.
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Old 04-20-2007, 05:08 PM   #3
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Reggie Bush obviously will get the most hype, and be up there in the 1st round. I wasn't sold on the guy last year, and I am not sold on him this year. Plenty of talent, but a little too cocky. If the Saints come back down to earth this year, like I think they will, much more responsibility is going to be on Reggie Bush to earn that #2 draft pick. I see it as a setup for failure, and he gets my #1 vote for overhyped sophomore running back.

#2 goes to Maurice Jones-Drew
Caught many teams by surprise last year, this year they will respect his abilities and key on him harder. Last year, the Jaguars were like "wow, look at what the rookie can do", this year it will be expected, and then some. I hope the little ball of muscle can continue his success, but the odds will be stacked against him.
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Old 04-20-2007, 05:13 PM   #4
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come on, do people really think reggie bush is going to be a 1st round pick??
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Old 04-20-2007, 06:20 PM   #5
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Bomb, you've seen the hype machine before. I've already read people calling him one, and I think it will continue to grow.

On Jones-Drew - I disagree that he won't be drafted that high. His production late in the year ,especially the TD's will have some slobbering all over him. He'll be a mid-2nd in most drafts IMO.
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Old 04-20-2007, 07:30 PM   #6
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I will throw a name out most won't agree with Maroney. He already is banged up, he won't have Dillon to spell him....I see injury bug written all over him...and he will be drafted very high due to being the only back in NE.
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Old 04-20-2007, 07:51 PM   #7
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i'll give you an opposite. joseph addai is my big sleeper early on. im afraid hes going to get over hyped, but i hope he somehow stays in that 3rd round range about where chester taylor was going last year. i am expecting a top 10 year from him. none of the other 2nd year RBs excite me all too much. none that i would draft or count in on a redraft, except for bush in PPR but not if hes going that high.
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Old 04-20-2007, 07:52 PM   #8
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I didn't think there were many rookie RB's to choose from last year.

Bush was really the only one coming into the season with any expectations so anything the others contributed was gravy anyway. With that said, he's a twisted Deuce McAllister knee away from being Marshall Faulk reincarnated.

The only guy who immediately pops to mind that fits this thread topic is Lendale White. If Tennessee goes in with him starting, he'll likely go in the 2nd round of many fantasy drafts when he should be a #3 RB or bye-week filler/flex material.
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Old 04-20-2007, 07:55 PM   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Phicinfan View Post
I will throw a name out most won't agree with Maroney. .
I can completely agree with Maroney struggling this year, depending on his health. Not sure that he will get a huge amount of hype though if people are paying attention to his injury status.

This is a guy that I would hope to avoid.
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Old 04-20-2007, 07:56 PM   #10
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what? theres no way lendale white is going to go in the 2nd round in any draft unless youre in like a 32 team league, and even then i wouldnt want to be the one taking him.
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Old 04-20-2007, 07:57 PM   #11
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i'll give you an opposite. joseph addai is my big sleeper early on. im afraid hes going to get over hyped, but i hope he somehow stays in that 3rd round range about where chester taylor was going last year.
You can forget about any chance of him going near the 3rd round. Going into the season as the main man in Indy, I will be surprised if he slips out of the first round. Very surprised.

I think he will put up the numbers to backup a first round selection though.
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Old 04-20-2007, 08:01 PM   #12
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what? theres no way lendale white is going to go in the 2nd round in any draft unless youre in like a 32 team league, and even then i wouldnt want to be the one taking him.
I wouldn't be too sure about that. If he comes into training camp running strong and in shape, I think he could easily get taken in the 2nd round of a 12 team redraft.

The question is, can he show up for camp in shape?

Chris Brown's status will play a role in this as well. Right now, he still doesn't have a home, and I'm not surprised.
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Old 04-20-2007, 08:04 PM   #13
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well i hope he does. just one more guy who will be off the board early for me to take someone else whos valuable.
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Old 04-20-2007, 09:14 PM   #14
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Quote:
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You can forget about any chance of him going near the 3rd round. Going into the season as the main man in Indy, I will be surprised if he slips out of the first round. Very surprised.

I think he will put up the numbers to backup a first round selection though.
I agree, this guy will likely be one of the most hyped soph's and well deservingly so. 1st round will not be uncommon at all.

As far as White in the 2nd, no way I see this happening. i can see him climbing some if he comes to camp in shape and noone else is brought in. But even at that, mid to late 3rd, or 4th round is likely what you will see IMO.
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Old 04-20-2007, 11:27 PM   #15
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Was there a stipulation for hype in the first place? I was under the impression that it's just who'll fall to the sophomore bug. In which case White is the surest of the lot. I don't really see any of the others stinking it up.
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Old 04-21-2007, 11:15 AM   #16
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Da Bomb View Post
what? theres no way lendale white is going to go in the 2nd round in any draft unless youre in like a 32 team league, and even then i wouldnt want to be the one taking him.
I don't have high expectations for White, so he can't really be a dud can he?

I also think they will make a trade for Turner...and White will be relegated to short yardage only. Just my opinion there.
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Old 04-21-2007, 11:43 AM   #17
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I also think they will make a trade for Turner...and White will be relegated to short yardage only. Just my opinion there.
I think Turner will be a heavy topic of discussion among GM's come draft weekend.

One thing for sure, Tennessee will have to battle Buffalo, who I think is considering Turner very heavily at this point, they just don't want to do anything before the draft.

Draft day will make teams make move that they normally wouldn't make.
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Old 04-22-2007, 11:26 PM   #18
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I agree that Jones-Drew will be the one RB that will fall to the sophomore bug. His TD numbers will decrease, as teams will begin to plan for him knowing what he can do.
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Old 04-23-2007, 01:02 AM   #19
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I don't think any team can really stop Drew. I mean, teams knew what Barry Sanders could do, but they had a hard time stopping him from doing it.
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Old 04-23-2007, 08:36 AM   #20
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tell me you didnt just compare maurice drew to barry sanders.
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